FiveThirtyEight
Sarah Frostenson

As we wait for more results, let’s talk more about why all eyes are on Pennsylvania. The margin there is tight, but Biden has taken the lead. What can we say about the outstanding vote there? Do we have a sense of whether they are Democratic-leaning or Republican-leaning? And are there specific parts of the state we should be paying close attention to?

Nathaniel Rakich

ABC News can now project that Democrat Mark Kelly, who currently leads 52 percent to 48 percent, has won the Senate race in Arizona. This gives Democrats their second flip of the election, although because Doug Jones lost in Alabama, it’s only a net gain of one seat. Counting the two independents who caucus with them, Democrats are now guaranteed 48 seats in the next Senate.

Nathaniel Rakich

Pima County, Arizona, is fairly blue, so these ballots should be even better for Biden than the ones we just saw from Maricopa. Trump’s path in Arizona is narrowing.

https://twitter.com/RafaelCarranza/status/1324747118653833216


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