Biden Is Projected To Be The President-Elect. Here’s How It All Went Down.

That latest Maricopa drop consisted of 61,789 ballots: 31,768 for Trump and 28,285 for Biden. That’s a 51-46 Trump ratio; as Nate said, Trump needed to win these ballots by a lot more to be on pace to overtake Biden’s lead statewide. Now, Trump needs to win at least 60 percent of the outstanding votes to pull ahead.

That last batch of ballots from Arizona wasn’t great for Trump, as Nate said, but it still seems like the state he has the best chance to pull ahead in. He’s been winning just over 50 percent of the recent batches of votes there, and he needs nearer to 60 percent of the remaining vote to pull ahead. Obviously, he’s not hitting his targets, but he’s closer to hitting his targets in Arizona than he is in Pennsylvania or Georgia or even Nevada.

Just got a batch of ballots in Arizona that will be disappointing for Trump. Trump wins by just 6 points in Maricopa County, out of almost 62,000 votes. He needed to win them by more like 20 points. Big news. I think Biden is the clear favorite in Arizona now.