FiveThirtyEight
Nate Silver

Just got a batch of ballots in Arizona that will be disappointing for Trump. Trump wins by just 6 points in Maricopa County, out of almost 62,000 votes. He needed to win them by more like 20 points. Big news. I think Biden is the clear favorite in Arizona now.

Kaleigh Rogers

In yesterday’s reported votes from Maricopa County, Trump inched closer to closing Biden’s lead, winning 55.6 percent to Biden’s 41.7 percent. In order to close the gap, Trump actually needs to be winning more like 58 percent of the remaining ballots statewide, by our calculations.

Nathaniel Rakich

According to the latest update from the Pennsylvania Department of State, there are 124,169 absentee ballots left to be counted, including 23,222 in Philadelphia County and 36,456 in Allegheny County (Pittsburgh). In addition, John Micek of the Pennsylvania Capital-Star reports there could be as many as 100,000 provisional ballots left.


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