Democrats are also underperforming expectations in state legislative chambers, as Democrats representing non-metropolitan areas continue to lose vote share. The Michigan, Iowa and Texas state houses all look likely to stay in Republican hands. Republicans also have a chance to win the New Hampshire State Senate. Geographic polarization in the presidential race makes it harder for Democrats to win legislative chambers, especially combined with Republicans' control of redistricting. But it could be self-reinforcing, as these results help determine control of the next redistricting process.
