FiveThirtyEight

Right, Nate, but to reiterate what your earlier point, Biden’s win in NE-02 is big, opening up a number of paths for him. Winning NE-02 means he could win the presidency if he wins Arizona — which looks pretty good for Biden with roughly 80 percent of the vote in — and holds onto Michigan, which maybe his Minnesota win is a good sign for, as you said.