We now have nearly 600 completed counties across the country, so here's an updated scatterplot looking at the fit to 2016

Biden has been about 1.5 points ahead of Clinton in these counties the last several times I've checked — that's close to a 3-point overperformance on margin https://t.co/rUSTVxfK95 pic.twitter.com/Pan1gPlaBj

— Kabir K. (@kabir_here) November 4, 2020