Micah, I think the reason you’re getting conflicting reports is that there’s conflicting information. There are the counties Dan mentioned where Trump is replicating his 2016 performance. But there’s also Lackawanna County, where Biden is leading by 8 points, comfortably ahead of Clinton’s 3-point lead in 2016. (Of course, Biden is from Lackawanna County, so he may have home-field advantage.) Ultimately I think this will come down to how many mail-in votes there are to count in the Philadelphia area.