FiveThirtyEight

Thinking about Georgia, Trump has a slight upper hand, at least according to The New York Times needle. With 55 percent of the expected vote in, the Times gives him about a 4 in 5 shot of carrying the Peach State. But the good news for Biden is that he still has a chance, probably thanks to the shifts we’re seeing in the Atlanta metro area. Suburban/exurban counties such as Cherokee, Fayette and Newton all have 95 percent or more of their expected vote reporting, and in each, Biden has improved on Clinton’s margin by 11 to 12 points.