FiveThirtyEight

I’m spinning forward a little here — of course, we don’t have all the votes yet in many of the key states — but what we’re seeing in the results in Ohio is interesting. Biden has gained in the college-educated suburbs, and it looks like he could lose counties (or a least a county) that Clinton won in 2016, the sorts of places with a lot of white, non-college-educated voters. This has implications for our potential tipping-point state of Pennsylvania. Biden had a narrow lead in polls there, and Western Pennsylvania looks a lot like Northeastern Ohio demographically and economically.