The clock has struck 10 p.m. on the East Coast, which means the polls are now closed in Iowa, Montana, Nevada and Utah. Here are the odds in every major race there, per our forecast.
Our final forecasts for the 10 p.m. races
The final numbers from FiveThirtyEight’s forecast for races where the last polls close at 10 p.m. Eastern
| President races | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| chance of winning | |||
| Race | Democrat | Republican | Forecasted avg. vote margin |
| Iowa | 39.9% | 60.1% | R+1 |
| Montana | 18.0 | 82.0 | R+6 |
| Nevada | 87.8 | 12.2 | D+6 |
| Utah | 4.6 | 95.4 | R+14 |
| Senate races | |||
| chance of winning | |||
| Race | Democrat | Republican | Forecasted avg. vote margin |
| Iowa | 42.3% | 57.7% | R+1 |
| Montana | 31.4 | 68.6 | R+3 |
| House races | |||
| chance of winning | |||
| Race | Democrat | Republican | Forecasted avg. vote margin |
| IA-1 | 87.5% | 12.5% | D+8 |
| IA-2 | 87.8 | 12.2 | D+9 |
| IA-3 | 84.2 | 15.8 | D+7 |
| IA-4 | 2.2 | 97.8 | R+16 |
| MT | 22.5 | 77.5 | R+5 |
| NV-1 | >99.9 | <0.1 | D+39 |
| NV-2 | 2.4 | 97.6 | R+19 |
| NV-3 | 83.5 | 16.5 | D+8 |
| NV-4 | 72.1 | 27.9 | D+5 |
| UT-1 | <0.1 | >99.9 | R+33 |
| UT-2 | 1.1 | 98.9 | R+20 |
| UT-3 | 0.1 | 99.9 | R+32 |
| UT-4 | 56.1 | 43.9 | D+1 |