Polls Closing At 7 p.m.
It’s now 7 p.m. Eastern, which means the last polls have closed in Georgia, Indiana, Kentucky, South Carolina, Vermont and Virginia. Here’s what our forecast says about the races in those states.
Our final forecasts for the 7 p.m. races
The final numbers from FiveThirtyEight’s forecast for races where the last polls close at 7 p.m. Eastern
| President races | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| chance of winning | |||
| Race | Democrat | Republican | Forecasted avg. vote margin |
| Georgia | 58.2% | 41.8% | D+1 |
| Indiana | 3.6 | 96.4 | R+11 |
| Kentucky | 1.4 | 98.6 | R+18 |
| South Carolina | 10.0 | 90.0 | R+7 |
| Vermont | 99.6 | 0.4 | D+38 |
| Virginia | 99.0 | 1.0 | D+12 |
| Senate races | |||
| chance of winning | |||
| Race | Democrat | Republican | Forecasted avg. vote margin |
| Georgia | 42.6% | 57.4% | EVEN |
| Georgia special | 62.9 | 23.3 | R+2 |
| Kentucky | 4.0 | 96.0 | R+13 |
| South Carolina | 23.0 | 77.0 | R+5 |
| Virginia | 99.3 | 0.7 | D+18 |
| House races | |||
| chance of winning | |||
| Race | Democrat | Republican | Forecasted avg. vote margin |
| GA-1 | 0.3% | 99.7% | R+27 |
| GA-2 | 96.8 | 3.2 | D+16 |
| GA-3 | <0.1 | >99.9 | R+41 |
| GA-4 | >99.9 | <0.1 | D+53 |
| GA-5 | >99.9 | <0.1 | D+67 |
| GA-6 | 74.0 | 26.0 | D+5 |
| GA-7 | 43.3 | 56.7 | R+1 |
| GA-8 | <0.1 | >99.9 | R+39 |
| GA-9 | <0.1 | >99.9 | R+60 |
| GA-10 | <0.1 | >99.9 | R+35 |
| GA-11 | 0.3 | 99.7 | R+25 |
| GA-12 | 0.2 | 99.8 | R+26 |
| GA-13 | >99.9 | <0.1 | D+45 |
| GA-14 | <0.1 | >99.9 | R+54 |
| IN-1 | 99.8 | 0.2 | D+27 |
| IN-2 | 2.8 | 97.2 | R+18 |
| IN-3 | <0.1 | >99.9 | R+36 |
| IN-4 | <0.1 | >99.9 | R+34 |
| IN-5 | 50.2 | 49.8 | EVEN |
| IN-6 | <0.1 | >99.9 | R+40 |
| IN-7 | >99.9 | <0.1 | D+34 |
| IN-8 | <0.1 | >99.9 | R+32 |
| IN-9 | 1.0 | 99.0 | R+21 |
| KY-1 | <0.1 | >99.9 | R+43 |
| KY-2 | <0.1 | >99.9 | R+33 |
| KY-3 | 99.9 | 0.1 | D+29 |
| KY-4 | <0.1 | >99.9 | R+33 |
| KY-5 | <0.1 | >99.9 | R+60 |
| KY-6 | 15.1 | 84.9 | R+8 |
| SC-1 | 64.3 | 35.7 | D+3 |
| SC-2 | 4.7 | 95.3 | R+15 |
| SC-3 | <0.1 | >99.9 | R+42 |
| SC-4 | 0.2 | 99.8 | R+28 |
| SC-5 | 1.7 | 98.3 | R+19 |
| SC-6 | >99.9 | <0.1 | D+45 |
| SC-7 | 0.6 | 99.4 | R+24 |
| VA-1 | 7.1 | 92.9 | R+13 |
| VA-2 | 87.1 | 12.9 | D+8 |
| VA-3 | >99.9 | <0.1 | D+39 |
| VA-4 | 99.6 | 0.4 | D+25 |
| VA-5 | 49.1 | 50.9 | EVEN |
| VA-6 | 0.3 | 99.7 | R+26 |
| VA-7 | 78.6 | 21.4 | D+6 |
| VA-8 | >99.9 | <0.1 | D+56 |
| VA-9 | >99.9 | R+84 | |
| VA-10 | 99.3 | 0.7 | D+19 |
| VA-11 | >99.9 | <0.1 | D+45 |
| VT | >99.9 | <0.1 | D+38 |