FiveThirtyEight
Nathaniel Rakich

Elliott County, in the coal fields of eastern Kentucky, was notable for voting Democratic in every presidential election from 1872 to 2012. But illustrating how white, working-class areas like Appalachia have moved away from the party, Trump carried Elliott by 44 points in 2016. Now, with 47 percent of the expected vote reporting, Trump is leading by 33 points in Elliott, according to The New York Times.

Lee Drutman

Pew asked in August whether significant changes in the fundamental design and structure of American government were needed. Overall, 62 percent agreed. But that goes up to 79 percent among Democrats, so I think there’s going to be tremendous pressure for Democrats to put forward a pretty big democracy reform agenda if they gain the trifecta. Pew asked the same question in 2018, and then 68 percent of Democrats supported significant changes. Republicans, however, are more divided.

Julia Azari

In response to Sarah’s question, I’m going to be looking for signs that North Carolina and Georgia are going one way and Florida is going another. That might give us a sense of what kinds of places are driving the vote totals for each candidate.


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