Biden Is Projected To Be The President-Elect. Here’s How It All Went Down.

But note that Biden has maintained his slight advantage over Sanders when comparing hypothetical head-to-head polls against Trump. Biden may have an advantage in part due to his perceived moderation.

What if Democrats had nominated Sanders instead of Biden? Democracy Fund + UCLA Nationscape has continued to run Sanders-Trump head-to-head polling. Biden continues to outperform Sanders, but only by 2-3 points. And as much as Trump has tried to cast Biden as a trojan horse for Sanders-style socialism, Sanders has also comfortably led Trump in every head-to-head poll going back to August 2019. So maybe that wasn’t the best strategy for Trump.

We probably won’t know all the election results tonight because so many people this year are casting mail ballots, which can take longer to count. So when can we expect results? Elena Mejía and I put together a comprehensive guide that attempts to answer that question. Here’s a general idea of how much of the vote we expect to be counted tonight in each state:

If you scroll through our guide, you can see even more details for every state, including when vote counting might be completed, when results might be released and whether there might be a “blue shift” or “red shift” in the results — which can happen if predominantly Republican Election Day votes are counted before predominantly Democratic mail ballots, or vice versa.