FiveThirtyEight

Chad, I think one of the roadblocks for voters who have found they prefer to vote absentee will be the excuse requirement in many states: You need a “valid” reason to vote absentee, and while many states changed the rules to temporarily allow COVID-19 as an excuse, that (hopefully) won’t be the case next time around. They’d have to either expand the kinds of excuses, or get rid of the excuse requirement entirely, to recreate the absentee voting options in 2020.