FiveThirtyEight
Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux

Here’s something for folks watching the courts: Republicans in Nevada and the Trump campaign filed an emergency motion asking the state Supreme Court to stop processing some mail-in ballots in Clark County while they appeal issues related to observer access and the signature-checking system that’s being used. We’ll keep you posted on what happens next. Clark County, of course, is the home of Las Vegas and there have already been several unsuccessful attempts by the Trump campaign and the state GOP to delay counting of mail-in votes in the county over these issues.

Anna Rothschild

What If Trump Loses And Won’t Go?

In press conferences and at rallies, Trump has cast doubt on the accuracy of the 2020 election results and has refused to commit to peaceful transfer of power should he lose. So, what will happen if the race is tight and Trump disputes the results in a key state? Here, elections analyst Geoffrey Skelley explores some real-world scenarios that could lead us to a constitutional crisis.

Dan Hopkins

Earlier in the live blog, Lee Drutman wrote about rising partisan animosity. And while reducing partisan polarization is a huge topic, I do suspect that election night can exacerbate it. Here’s why: One well-known aspect of animosity toward other groups is perceiving those groups to be monolithic, rather than recognizing that they are made up of individuals with varying motivations. Election night encourages this tendency, as people only see the numbers of votes for the other side, and not the individuals casting those ballots.

That’s one of the reasons I always leave exit polling more upbeat about American democracy: Talking to specific voters on their way out of the polls reminds me that there are people and stories behind the numbers.


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