How The U.S. Beat The Netherlands For A Fourth Women’s World Cup Title

The difference is van Veenendaal. The model can’t account for that.

The U.S. completed 25 passes in the attacking third. The Dutch only attempted 13.

I’m surprised the win probability didn’t go up more. The U.S. dominated shots (5-1), shots on goal (4-0), possession (61-39), possession in the attacking third (78-22), expected goals (0.41-0.04), etc.