FiveThirtyEight
Geoffrey Skelley

So far, 13 percent of precincts have reported in Montana’s Senate contest. Incumbent Democrat Jon Tester is up 57 percent to 41 percent over Republican Matt Rosendale. Tester won statewide by a little less than 4 points in his 2012 re-election win. Yellowstone County, one of the bigger counties in the state, is about half in, and Rosendale leads there by 1 point. Tester won it by 1 point in 2012, so it’s running closely to what happened in Tester’s last race, at least so far.


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