FiveThirtyEight
Perry Bacon Jr.

Chad, we saw I think two big trends in terms of how identity and politics intersect. On the Democratic side, you had this wave of female candidates run and then win primaries. Democrats didn’t take Clinton’s loss as some kind of indication that women could not be elected, but instead made their party more female-led than before. Similarly, in Florida and Georgia, Democratic voters basically rejected nominating white candidates who some said were more “electable.” We are going to see a lot of firsts (Muslim, African-American, gay) in terms of Democratic candidates winning across the country. On the GOP side, in the campaigns of Kemp, DeSantis and some congressional Republicans I think you saw an embrace of Trump-style identity politics: few appeals to minority voters, lots of aggressive anti-immigrant rhetoric, and some campaign ads that are downright racist.


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