FiveThirtyEight
Micah Cohen

This Live Blog Is Taking A Nap

The big questions have been answered. Democrats have taken the House. Republicans will keep the Senate. Exactly how many seats will change hands, however, is still up in the air:

  • There are currently just over 30 House seats yet to be projected; if the current leader in all of them ends up winning, the House will be 227 Democrats, 208 Republicans.
  • In the Senate, three races remain outstanding (not including Florida, where Democratic Sen. Bill Nelson has conceded). In Montana, Democratic Sen. Jon Tester is fighting for his political life, trailing Republican Matt Rosendale by about 1 point. In Arizona, Republican Rep. Martha McSally has a 1-point lead — 49 percent to 48 percent — over Democratic Rep. Kyrsten Sinema. Hundreds of thousands of votes remain to be counted, so it could go either way. In Nevada, Republican Sen. Dean Heller trails Democratic Rep. Jacky Rosen by 7 points. (And, in fact, the race has been called for her by some networks,)
  • The unresolved gubernatorial races are in Wisconsin, where it seems like Democrat Tony Evers will just eke out a win; Georgia, where Republican Brian Kemp is up by a few points but only just above the threshold to avoid a runoff; Connecticut, where Democrat Ned Lamont is trailing; and Alaska and Nevada, where only about a fifth of the vote has been counted so far.

So we’re going to get a few hours of sleep, and — being completists — we’ll close this out sometime Wednesday with the final numbers. 😴


Filed under