Wisconsin has one of the closest gubernatorial races in the country, and in conjunction with the state’s traditionally high turnout, it’s no surprise that the Badger State leads our list of states with the highest projected turnout in governor races.
Forecasted turnout in every race for governor
According to FiveThirtyEight’s final forecast
| State▲▼ |
Proj. turnout▲▼ |
Voting-eligible pop.▲▼ |
Proj. turnout share▲▼ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wisconsin | 2,707k | 4,344k | 62.3% |
| Maine | 655 | 1,075 | 60.9 |
| Minnesota | 2,393 | 4,056 | 59.0 |
| Iowa | 1,324 | 2,299 | 57.6 |
| Colorado | 2,184 | 3,955 | 55.2 |
| New Hampshire | 575 | 1,046 | 55.0 |
| Florida | 7,066 | 13,300 | 53.1 |
| Alaska | 273 | 522 | 52.3 |
| Vermont | 260 | 501 | 52.0 |
| Oregon | 1,567 | 3,012 | 52.0 |
| Michigan | 3,831 | 7,530 | 50.9 |
| South Dakota | 322 | 635 | 50.8 |
| Connecticut | 1,329 | 2,623 | 50.7 |
| Illinois | 4,555 | 9,110 | 50.0 |
| Rhode Island | 396 | 794 | 49.9 |
| Ohio | 4,432 | 8,882 | 49.9 |
| Massachusetts | 2,504 | 5,024 | 49.8 |
| Wyoming | 201 | 411 | 48.9 |
| Pennsylvania | 4,802 | 9,867 | 48.7 |
| Nebraska | 655 | 1,364 | 48.0 |
| Maryland | 2,054 | 4,313 | 47.6 |
| Kansas | 981 | 2,089 | 46.9 |
| Idaho | 540 | 1,185 | 45.6 |
| Nevada | 858 | 1,921 | 44.7 |
| New Mexico | 658 | 1,475 | 44.6 |
| Arizona | 2,009 | 4,598 | 43.7 |
| Georgia | 2,999 | 7,095 | 42.3 |
| Alabama | 1,450 | 3,431 | 42.3 |
| Tennessee | 1,925 | 4,623 | 41.6 |
| New York | 5,679 | 13,900 | 40.9 |
| Oklahoma | 1,134 | 2,796 | 40.6 |
| California | 10,200 | 25,200 | 40.5 |
| Hawaii | 404 | 1,021 | 39.6 |
| South Carolina | 1,448 | 3,721 | 38.9 |
| Arkansas | 843 | 2,167 | 38.9 |
| Texas | 6,669 | 17,600 | 37.9 |