FiveThirtyEight
Micah Cohen

I guess I’d say that he deserves partial credit for the Senate and partial blame for the House?

Sarah Frostenson

So what do we make of President Trump’s presser where he’s taking credit for Republican gains in the Senate while Democrats take back the House? Does he have a point or is he totally off base? And his rationale for not releasing his tax returns was just … bizarre.

Micah Cohen

I have no idea what’s in Trump’s tax returns, but I think Democrats have this tendency to look for silver bullets to defeat Trump that come from outside the normal flow of politics, whether it’s hoping Mueller finds something or releasing the tax returns.

That just seems stupid — even if either or both turn something up. Every election Trump has been involved in has been pretty normal in terms of the results and what we’d expect based on the fundamentals. I think they need a “normal” plan to beat Trump, even if they also have more moonshot hopes.


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