FiveThirtyEight
Ella Koeze

Another “toss-up” race has been called: Virginia 7, for Democrat Abigail Spanberger. That brings the totals for called “toss-up” districts so far to four projected Democratic wins and two projected Republican wins.

How ‘toss-up’ districts are voting so far

As of 11:42 p.m.

Pre-election win probabilities Tonight’s returns
race democrat republican Percent reporting Vote Margin ABC Projection
GA-6 McBath 40.6% Handel 59.4% 99% R+4.4
VA-2 Luria 40.6 Taylor 59.4 99 D+1.7 ✔ D
PA-1 Wallace 40.6 Fitzpatrick 59.4 91 R+2.9 ✔ R
KY-6 McGrath 42.7 Barr 57.3 100 R+2.2 ✔ R
TX-7 Fletcher 44.7 Culberson 55.3 77 D+3.4
TX-32 Allred 46.3 Sessions 53.7 80 D+6.4 ✔ D
FL-26 Mucarsel-Powell 50.2 Curbelo 49.8 100 D+1.6 ✔ D
CA-39 Cisneros 51.8 Kim 48.2 0 R+14.1
VA-7 Spanberger 52.0 Brat 48.0 99 D+1.3 ✔ D
NM-2 Small 52.2 Herrell 47.8 96 R+3.8
NC-9 McCready 55.0 Harris 45.0 96 R+0.7
MN-1 Feehan 59.9 Hagedorn 40.1 64 D+0.2

“Toss-up” districts are those where both candidates had less than a 60 percent chance of winning, according to the Deluxe version of FiveThirtyEight’s final pre-election forecast.

Source: ABC News

Nathaniel Rakich

ABC News can also project that Michelle Lujan Grisham has won the New Mexico governorship. Democrats will now have full control over the New Mexico state government.

Results Bot

ABC News projects Democratic wins in CA-11, CA-20 and NJ-7.

ABC News projects that Democrat Michelle Lujan Grisham will win the gubernatorial race in New Mexico.


Exit mobile version