FiveThirtyEight
Nate Silver

Steve King now down 5 points with more than 50 percent reporting. The Upshot still says the race leans his way, but I’m not sure I buy that.

Christie Aschwanden

Florida recount! A long-standing tradition …

Matt Grossmann

So far, establishment primary candidates who fended off liberal insurgents in House races are looking good (Pennsylvania 7th, Kansas 3rd and Texas 7th), while winning liberal insurgents are fairing poorly (Nebraska 2nd and Pennsylvania 1st). But especially combined with Gillum’s loss, it may come to be seen as a better evening for sticking with Democratic establishment picks.


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