What Went Down In The 2018 Midterms

Andrew Gillum has conceded the governor race in Florida. Big win for Republicans there.

The New Mexico 2nd District was a pure toss-up in our model: Both Yvette Herrell (the Republican) and Xochitl Torres Small (the Democrat) had a 1 in 2 chance. With 62 percent reporting, that “prediction” has proven true: Herrell leads just 51 percent to 49 percent.

We’re starting to get some returns in from California, but be wary. It takes several days to collect mail ballots there, and the final returns don’t always match what’s reported initially on election night.