What Went Down In The 2018 Midterms

The Nebraska 2nd District (Omaha) has been called for Republican Rep. Don Bacon. Democrat Kara Eastman was never able to make this a real race, even though other suburban areas have gone strongly blue tonight. Maybe that’s because she was too liberal for this historically Republican district, as we wrote after her surprise primary victory over Brad Ashford.

The education divide persists. Democrats appear to be doing well in well-educated suburbs, which extends a trend we’ve seen of Democrats gaining ground with college-educated voters. In 2017, Pew Research Center reported that people with a bachelor’s degree or higher favored Democrats by 22 points. As recently as 2010, that group was split evenly between the two parties, and in 1992, it favored Republicans by 4 points. On the flip side, Republicans have gained plenty of ground with non-college-educated whites in recent years.

Steve King is DOWN 2 points so far in the Iowa 4th, although The Upshot’s model thinks the remaining vote could be better for him than what’s been reported so far.