What Went Down In The 2018 Midterms

Leo Pezzementi sends this voting sticker from Alabama. “It’s out of focus.” (Is there a metaphor there?)

Our final update to the Senate forecast predicts an average gain of 0.5 seats for Republicans and gives the GOP a 5-in-6 (82 percent) chance of controlling the Senate, according to our “Deluxe” model.

Our final Election Update for the Senate lays out 13 races that we’ve got our eyes on.

Our final update to the House forecast predicts an average gain of 36 seats for Democrats and gives them a 6-in-7 (85.8 percent) chance of controlling the House, according to our “Deluxe” model.

Nate’s final Election Update explains how to think about the uncertainty around those numbers.