FiveThirtyEight
Harry Enten

With 45 percent of precincts in the special U.S. House election in Utah’s 3rd District in, Republican John Curtis leads 59 percent to 25 percent over Democrat Kathie Allen. As I wrote before, it’s unclear how exactly to read that result in the context of the national environment. It’s a district that was very heavily in favor of Romney in 2012 but where Trump underperformed. What I can say is that Curtis will be the next representative from that district.

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