Also interesting to compare Gillespie vote % in '14 and '17 to Trump '16. In key counties like Loudon, Henrico, PW, Gillespie '17 runs a point or two ahead of Trump '16 and way way behind Gillespie '14. https://t.co/RoJf7z90iL
So GA House 117 & 119 appear to have flipped – does that portend anything beyond the "environment", esp. AL senate. Rural, but with Watkinsville & Athens, respectively, and still in freaking Georgia.
— Jennifer, unrepentant fattie (@Thevelvetwhale) November 8, 2017
Answer
Well, Bemused Redneck, these districts are not overwhelmingly Republican. Trump won 117 by 3 percentage points and 119 by 7 points. The flips there are obviously not bad news for Democrats; they are good news. But I don’t think they are particularly surprising. I think they fit with a national environment that is in the Democrats’ favor right now.