FiveThirtyEight
David Wasserman Aaron Bycoffe

Virginia’s Democratic delegate success meter

The 25 most vulnerable Republican seats in the House of Delegates

Pickup opportunities for Democrats
PAST RESULTS TONIGHT’S RETURNS
DISTRICT 2013 GOVERNOR 2014 SENATE 2016 PRESIDENT MARGIN % REPORTING
2nd McAuliffe +11 Warner +6 Clinton +17 D+25.3 95.7%
31st McAuliffe +3 Gillespie +2 Clinton +7 D+9.0 96.2%
32nd McAuliffe +7 Warner +2 Clinton +19 D+17.1 100.0%
42nd McAuliffe +6 Warner +2 Clinton +20 D+22.0 94.7%
67th McAuliffe +8 Warner +6 Clinton +22 D+15.9 100.0%
Toss ups
PAST RESULTS TONIGHT’S RETURNS
DISTRICT 2013 GOVERNOR 2014 SENATE 2016 PRESIDENT MARGIN % REPORTING
12th McAuliffe +6 Warner +8 Clinton +2 D+7.2 97.1%
13th McAuliffe +1 Gillespie +4 Clinton +14 D+9.2 95.0%
21st McAuliffe +4 Warner +3 Clinton +4 D+5.5 95.0%
72nd Cuccinelli +5 Gillespie +6 Clinton +4 D+5.6 100.0%
94th McAuliffe +3 Warner +2 Clinton +5 R+0.1 100.0%
Reaches
PAST RESULTS TONIGHT’S RETURNS
DISTRICT 2013 GOVERNOR 2014 SENATE 2016 PRESIDENT MARGIN % REPORTING
10th Cuccinelli +3 Gillespie +8 Clinton +4 D+3.9 100.0%
40th Cuccinelli +7 Gillespie +11 Clinton +8 D+0.6 95.7%
50th Cuccinelli +1 Gillespie +3 Clinton +12 D+9.1 93.8%
51st Cuccinelli +1 Gillespie +7 Clinton +6 D+6.0 95.5%
68th Cuccinelli +2 Gillespie +4 Clinton +10 D+1.2 96.6%
73rd Cuccinelli +5 Gillespie +5 Clinton +7 D+2.8 100.0%
85th Cuccinelli +2 Gillespie +3 Trump +1 D+2.0 94.4%
100th McAuliffe +2 Warner +1 Clinton +2 R+4.5 100.0%
Wave territory
PAST RESULTS TONIGHT’S RETURNS
DISTRICT 2013 GOVERNOR 2014 SENATE 2016 PRESIDENT MARGIN % REPORTING
26th Cuccinelli +17 Gillespie +20 Trump +9 R+9.2 100.0%
27th Cuccinelli +8 Gillespie +8 Trump +4 R+0.5 95.5%
28th Cuccinelli +5 Gillespie +9 Trump +4 R+0.4 100.0%
33rd Cuccinelli +15 Gillespie +20 Trump +16 R+9.7 100.0%
62nd Cuccinelli +9 Gillespie +7 Trump +6 R+3.6 92.6%
83rd Cuccinelli +4 Gillespie +9 Trump +8 R+12.8 95.5%
84th Cuccinelli +1 Gillespie +5 Trump +5 R+3.3 94.4%
Nate Silver

To bring the point home a bit, Democrats have won — or are leading in — literally every race that Daily Kos Elections decided to highlight on its scoreboard tonight, except the 45th state Senate District in Washington state, where polls are still open. Some of those wins are by large margins, and some are narrow — but it’s a pretty comprehensive sweep so far.
Harry Enten

The biggest result still out is Washington’s 45th Senate District special election. If Democrats win there (and outside some shocking result in that state), they will control the state Senate. That means Democrats will control every state legislative body and governorship on the West Coast.

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