FiveThirtyEight
Dan Hopkins

The Blue Shift In Election Canvassing

Dave pointed out that control of Virginia’s House of Delegates may depend on provisional ballots. And although that will in turn hinge on the specific districts that have yet to be decided, it’s worth noting that overall, late election canvassing tends to favor the Democrats, as Edward Foley and Charles Stewart note in this paper.
Dan Hopkins

Maine’s Medicaid Expansion Is On Track

I’ve been tracking Maine’s Medicaid expansion by comparing how Question 2 is performing to Clinton’s performance in 2016. And as this chart shows, Question 2 is typically doing a bit better than Clinton in most towns, setting it on track to pass.
Harry Enten

I’ve been watching New York City politics for a long time, and I’ve seen very few campaigns as incendiary as independent mayoral candidate Bo Dietl’s. Right now, he’s getting just 1 percent of the vote, which is good enough for sixth place.

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