FiveThirtyEight
Perry Bacon Jr.

I am watching for trifectas (that’s when one party controls both houses of a state’s legislature and its governorship). Coming into tonight, Democrats were in total control of six states. Murphy’s win in New Jersey makes it seven. The GOP is in total control of 26 states. Republicans could have had 27 if Gillespie had won (and they go on to hold onto the House of Delegates). So Republicans will remain at 26. I’m still keeping an eye on Washington state, where there is a special election for a state Senate seat. If the Democratic candidate wins that race, Democrats will be in total control there.
David Wasserman

Control Of Virginia’s House Of Delegates Is Going Down To The Wire

Control of Virginia’s House of Delegates is likely to be decided by absentee and provisional ballots. Right now, by my math, Democrats have won 47 districts to Republicans’ 46. There are seven races left uncalled: Democrats lead in four and Republicans in three. Amazingly, the margins in five of the seven districts are less than 150 votes. For example, in Newport News’s 94th District, Delegate David Yancey, a Republican, currently leads Shelly Simonds, a Democrat, 11,587 to 11,575, with all precincts reporting. But provisional votes won’t be processed for days. Altogether, that means it may take days instead of hours to find out which party will be in control come January.
Harry Enten

There are still some precincts whose votes haven’t come in yet in the New York City mayoral election, but Democrats’ dreams that de Blasio would have a record performance in a New York City mayoral race seem to be falling short. So far, with 72 percent of precincts reporting, de Blasio has 64 percent of the vote. He’s falling short of his 2013 performance in every borough except Manhattan, where he is basically running even.

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