FiveThirtyEight
Clare Malone

Northam Is Outpacing Clinton Among Women

I noted some demographic trends from the Virginia exit polls earlier tonight, but I just wanted to point out something that’s going on with the women’s vote in the state, and more specifically the white women’s vote. Northam is outpacing Clinton with women in a way that’s pretty striking to me: He’s winning 60 percent of women overall, compared to Clinton’s 56 percent, according to the exit polls. He’s winning white women with 48 percent compared to Clinton’s 41 percent, white women without a college education 32 percent to Clinton’s 29 percent and white women with a college degree 57 percent to Clinton’s 50 percent. He isn’t, however, winning black women at the same rate that Clinton did. Hm!
Dan Hopkins

Paris, China and Poland have all weighed in on Maine’s Question 2 — yes, they are all Maine towns (in addition to being foreign cities and countries). In China, Question 2 eked out a victory by one vote. But Medicaid expansion went down narrowly in Poland and Paris. Overall, Question 2 looks on track to pass, as it’s been slightly but predictably outperforming Clinton’s performance in 2016 in most towns, and she won the state.
Nate Silver

That county executive result wouldn’t be too much of a surprise, since Westchester has become quite blue. But there are a lot of GOP seats for Congress up next year in more purple suburbs in New York and New Jersey — so not a great sign for the GOP if moderate Republicans are having trouble holding on there.

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