Updated |
What Went Down On Election Night 2017
Since pollsters and pundits seem to have missed a Democratic surge today, can I assume that there will now be a flood of articles and books on urban non-white liberals?
A Virginia House of Delegates update: Kelly Convirs-Fowler, a Democrat, has unseated Delegate Ron Villanueva, a Republican, in Virginia Beach’s District 21. Democrats have now picked up 13 seats and need four more for control.
Virginia’s Democratic delegate success meter
The 25 most vulnerable Republican seats in the House of Delegates
| Pickup opportunities for Democrats | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAST RESULTS | TONIGHT’S RETURNS | ||||
| DISTRICT | 2013 GOVERNOR | 2014 SENATE | 2016 PRESIDENT | MARGIN | % REPORTING |
| 2nd | McAuliffe +11 | Warner +6 | Clinton +17 | D+25.3 | 95.70% |
| 31st | McAuliffe +3 | Gillespie +2 | Clinton +7 | D+9.0 | 96.20% |
| 32nd | McAuliffe +7 | Warner +2 | Clinton +19 | D+17.2 | 95.80% |
| 42nd | McAuliffe +6 | Warner +2 | Clinton +20 | D+22.0 | 89.50% |
| 67th | McAuliffe +8 | Warner +6 | Clinton +22 | D+16.1 | 90.50% |
| Toss ups | |||||
| PAST RESULTS | TONIGHT’S RETURNS | ||||
| DISTRICT | 2013 GOVERNOR | 2014 SENATE | 2016 PRESIDENT | MARGIN | % REPORTING |
| 12th | McAuliffe +6 | Warner +8 | Clinton +2 | D+7.2 | 97.10% |
| 13th | McAuliffe +1 | Gillespie +4 | Clinton +14 | D+9.2 | 95.00% |
| 21st | McAuliffe +4 | Warner +3 | Clinton +4 | D+7.0 | 75.00% |
| 72nd | Cuccinelli +5 | Gillespie +6 | Clinton +4 | D+6.3 | 92.90% |
| 94th | McAuliffe +3 | Warner +2 | Clinton +5 | R+0.2 | 95.80% |
| Reaches | |||||
| PAST RESULTS | TONIGHT’S RETURNS | ||||
| DISTRICT | 2013 GOVERNOR | 2014 SENATE | 2016 PRESIDENT | MARGIN | % REPORTING |
| 10th | Cuccinelli +3 | Gillespie +8 | Clinton +4 | D+9.1 | 83.30% |
| 40th | Cuccinelli +7 | Gillespie +11 | Clinton +8 | D+0.5 | 91.30% |
| 50th | Cuccinelli +1 | Gillespie +3 | Clinton +12 | D+9.1 | 93.80% |
| 51st | Cuccinelli +1 | Gillespie +7 | Clinton +6 | D+6.0 | 95.50% |
| 68th | Cuccinelli +2 | Gillespie +4 | Clinton +10 | D+0.8 | 89.70% |
| 73rd | Cuccinelli +5 | Gillespie +5 | Clinton +7 | D+3.4 | 95.70% |
| 85th | Cuccinelli +2 | Gillespie +3 | Trump +1 | D+0.3 | 88.90% |
| 100th | McAuliffe +2 | Warner +1 | Clinton +2 | R+8.4 | 81.30% |
| Wave territory | |||||
| PAST RESULTS | TONIGHT’S RETURNS | ||||
| DISTRICT | 2013 GOVERNOR | 2014 SENATE | 2016 PRESIDENT | MARGIN | % REPORTING |
| 26th | Cuccinelli +17 | Gillespie +20 | Trump +9 | R+8.9 | 95.80% |
| 27th | Cuccinelli +8 | Gillespie +8 | Trump +4 | R+0.5 | 95.50% |
| 28th | Cuccinelli +5 | Gillespie +9 | Trump +4 | R+2.8 | 95.70% |
| 33rd | Cuccinelli +15 | Gillespie +20 | Trump +16 | R+9.3 | 87.10% |
| 62nd | Cuccinelli +9 | Gillespie +7 | Trump +6 | R+4.2 | 80.80% |
| 83rd | Cuccinelli +4 | Gillespie +9 | Trump +8 | R+16.8 | 59.10% |
| 84th | Cuccinelli +1 | Gillespie +5 | Trump +5 | D+0.5 | 88.90% |
In Maine, Question 2 is up 58 percent to 42 percent, with 34 percent of precincts in. From the count I’ve been doing, in 23 cities and towns, the ballot measure is outperforming Clinton’s 2016 performance. She won the state by around 3 percentage points. In 16 cities and towns, the ballot measure is underperforming Clinton. So there is still plenty of counting left to do, but the ballot measure is on track to pass.