Updated |
What Went Down On Election Night 2017
A Virginia House of Delegates update: Kelly Convirs-Fowler, a Democrat, has unseated Delegate Ron Villanueva, a Republican, in Virginia Beach’s District 21. Democrats have now picked up 13 seats and need four more for control.
Virginia’s Democratic delegate success meter
The 25 most vulnerable Republican seats in the House of Delegates
| Pickup opportunities for Democrats | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAST RESULTS | TONIGHT’S RETURNS | ||||
| DISTRICT | 2013 GOVERNOR | 2014 SENATE | 2016 PRESIDENT | MARGIN | % REPORTING |
| 2nd | McAuliffe +11 | Warner +6 | Clinton +17 | D+25.3 | 95.70% |
| 31st | McAuliffe +3 | Gillespie +2 | Clinton +7 | D+9.0 | 96.20% |
| 32nd | McAuliffe +7 | Warner +2 | Clinton +19 | D+17.2 | 95.80% |
| 42nd | McAuliffe +6 | Warner +2 | Clinton +20 | D+22.0 | 89.50% |
| 67th | McAuliffe +8 | Warner +6 | Clinton +22 | D+16.1 | 90.50% |
| Toss ups | |||||
| PAST RESULTS | TONIGHT’S RETURNS | ||||
| DISTRICT | 2013 GOVERNOR | 2014 SENATE | 2016 PRESIDENT | MARGIN | % REPORTING |
| 12th | McAuliffe +6 | Warner +8 | Clinton +2 | D+7.2 | 97.10% |
| 13th | McAuliffe +1 | Gillespie +4 | Clinton +14 | D+9.2 | 95.00% |
| 21st | McAuliffe +4 | Warner +3 | Clinton +4 | D+7.0 | 75.00% |
| 72nd | Cuccinelli +5 | Gillespie +6 | Clinton +4 | D+6.3 | 92.90% |
| 94th | McAuliffe +3 | Warner +2 | Clinton +5 | R+0.2 | 95.80% |
| Reaches | |||||
| PAST RESULTS | TONIGHT’S RETURNS | ||||
| DISTRICT | 2013 GOVERNOR | 2014 SENATE | 2016 PRESIDENT | MARGIN | % REPORTING |
| 10th | Cuccinelli +3 | Gillespie +8 | Clinton +4 | D+9.1 | 83.30% |
| 40th | Cuccinelli +7 | Gillespie +11 | Clinton +8 | D+0.5 | 91.30% |
| 50th | Cuccinelli +1 | Gillespie +3 | Clinton +12 | D+9.1 | 93.80% |
| 51st | Cuccinelli +1 | Gillespie +7 | Clinton +6 | D+6.0 | 95.50% |
| 68th | Cuccinelli +2 | Gillespie +4 | Clinton +10 | D+0.8 | 89.70% |
| 73rd | Cuccinelli +5 | Gillespie +5 | Clinton +7 | D+3.4 | 95.70% |
| 85th | Cuccinelli +2 | Gillespie +3 | Trump +1 | D+0.3 | 88.90% |
| 100th | McAuliffe +2 | Warner +1 | Clinton +2 | R+8.4 | 81.30% |
| Wave territory | |||||
| PAST RESULTS | TONIGHT’S RETURNS | ||||
| DISTRICT | 2013 GOVERNOR | 2014 SENATE | 2016 PRESIDENT | MARGIN | % REPORTING |
| 26th | Cuccinelli +17 | Gillespie +20 | Trump +9 | R+8.9 | 95.80% |
| 27th | Cuccinelli +8 | Gillespie +8 | Trump +4 | R+0.5 | 95.50% |
| 28th | Cuccinelli +5 | Gillespie +9 | Trump +4 | R+2.8 | 95.70% |
| 33rd | Cuccinelli +15 | Gillespie +20 | Trump +16 | R+9.3 | 87.10% |
| 62nd | Cuccinelli +9 | Gillespie +7 | Trump +6 | R+4.2 | 80.80% |
| 83rd | Cuccinelli +4 | Gillespie +9 | Trump +8 | R+16.8 | 59.10% |
| 84th | Cuccinelli +1 | Gillespie +5 | Trump +5 | D+0.5 | 88.90% |
In Maine, Question 2 is up 58 percent to 42 percent, with 34 percent of precincts in. From the count I’ve been doing, in 23 cities and towns, the ballot measure is outperforming Clinton’s 2016 performance. She won the state by around 3 percentage points. In 16 cities and towns, the ballot measure is underperforming Clinton. So there is still plenty of counting left to do, but the ballot measure is on track to pass.
Conservative pundits are arguing that a) Gillespie should have been more embracing of Trump and that b) Trump should have enacted more of his agenda. This seems unlikely. Trump is pretty toxic right now, and for him to have signed bills that are even less popular than he is probably would have made things even worse for GOP candidates today.