Responding to Micah’s question about whether Democrats are favorites to win the House in 2018: I’d be a little more cautious. As I recall, Democrats were running about 8 percentage points ahead of their 2016 numbers in special elections earlier this year. We have yet to see the final results tonight, but Northam, while winning comfortably, only seems to be about 5 points ahead of Clinton last year. Dems will likely need a larger surge than that to take the House.
By Seth Masket
