FiveThirtyEight
Ben Casselman

The Trouble With ‘Build A Wall’

CNN’s Jake Tapper’s question to Trump was a smart one: How would you deport 11 million people? Trump gave a non-answer: Build a wall. The problem with that answer is that the undocumented population has been basically flat in recent years and is down from its mid-2000s peak. The number of undocumented immigrants is still near an all-time high, but it isn’t growing much. Moreover, as many as half of undocumented immigrants didn’t cross the border illegally; they came legally and overstayed their visas.
Leah Libresco

Nate Silver

I’m not sure we should be comparing Fiorina to Gingrich in terms of a potential surge, though. She’s an odd case in that while she doesn’t have traditional credentials — never been elected to public office — her policy positions are straight up the Republican fairway and pretty establishment-friendly.

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