FiveThirtyEight
Anna Maria Barry-Jester

Jeb Bush says if Planned Parenthood is defunded, there are thousands of health clinics that can provide women’s health services. That’s not entirely true according to the Congressional Budget Office, which estimated on Tuesday that 5 percent to 25 percent of Planned Parenthood’s patients, 130,000 to 650,000 women, would face reduced access to care if the organization’s funding were cut.
Harry Enten

Donald Trump wants to build a wall along the Mexican border. Most Republicans are in favor of this. According to a poll out from Monmouth this month, 73 percent of Republicans want the wall to be built. Less than half of Americans (48 percent) are in favor of the wall, however.
Nate Silver

Sure. Of course Fiorina could surge again. It doesn’t take that much to have a surge. If you’re polling at 10 percent, you’re in third place, and at 20 percent, you’re in second place. At 25 percent, you might be in first place, if you can take some of that support from Trump. Fiorina is having an excellent debate, she has pretty good favorable ratings and she has room to grow.

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