Updated 3:52 AM | Nov. 9, 20162016 Election NightLive coverage and resultsBy FiveThirtyEightFiled under 2016 Election Forecast Bot 9:35 pm Trump wins Louisiana. Our model now gives him a 26 percent chance of winning the election. × The best of FiveThirtyEight, delivered to you. Thanks for subscribing!You should receive a confirmation in your inbox shortly. Error: {{data}}. Email Address Morning Distribution (Daily) Your daily briefing from FiveThirtyEight. Top Stories Newsletter (Weekly) FiveThirtyEight’s top stories last week. Politics Newsletter (Weekly) FiveThirtyEight’s top politics stories last week. Popular Stories Why Trump Is Polling Much Better Among Very Conservative Primary Voters Than In 2016 Are Black And Hispanic Americans Abandoning Biden? The 2024 Republican Primary Is Heating Up. Time For Another FiveThirtyEight Primary Draft!