FiveThirtyEight
Nate Silver

Michigan — a state where Trump leads by 3 points based on votes counted so far — is a state that ought to be making Democrats nervous. With lots of white, working-class voters and lots of undecideds, it was underrated as a swing state. Clinton will gain a ton more votes in Detroit, but the Upshot’s projections have the state as very nearly being a tossup now, and it’s probably a bigger risk to Clinton than Pennsylvania.

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