FiveThirtyEight
Carl Bialik

Clinton’s Ohio Struggles As Seen In Two Counties

A snapshot of Clinton’s struggles in Ohio in two counties: Obama won Athens County, home of Ohio University, by 35 points in 2012. She won there tonight by just 17 points. And Obama won by 12 points in struggling Ashtabula County — subject of a feature by my colleague Clare Malone — but Trump’s ahead there by 19 points.
Harry Enten

The geographic divide in Pennsylvania is stunning. Outside of the eastern part of the state, Clinton is winning only two counties: Allegheny (Pittsburgh) and Erie. That said, there are a ton of votes in the southeastern part of the state. Still, the current Clinton lead of 12 percentage points will come down considerably.
Andrew Flowers

Markets are taking a beating as Trump is hanging tight with Clinton in swing states. But not only that, market uncertainty is rising, injecting greater swings in the pricing of stocks. The VIX, also known as the “fear index,” is a measure of just this — volatility in the stock market. As the components of the VIX index are no longer trading, we can only look to futures to see what the VIX index is doing. And those futures are rising sharply. Market volatility is expected to increase dramatically — indicating investors did not expect a Trump victory, or don’t view it favorably.

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