FiveThirtyEight
Forecast Bot

Republicans win Senate races in Iowa and Utah. Our model now gives Republicans a 69 percent chance of retaining control of the Senate.
Forecast Bot

Trump wins Montana. Our model now gives him a 27 percent chance of winning the election.
Harry Enten

Talking about shocking counties, look to New Hampshire. Trump is up by 3 percentage points in Grafton County. That’s amazing considering Obama won it by a little less than 25 percentage points in 2012.

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