Clinton now leads in Virginia. There is still vote out in Democratic areas. It’s close, but Clinton should win there.
Nate Silver
Stating the obvious, but it’s very hard for Clinton to win the Electoral College if she loses Michigan along with Ohio, North Carolina and Florida none of which look particularly safe for her right now. Even if she were to hold the rest of her firewall and win Nevada, she’d be stuck at 263 electoral votes and would need to do something unexpected like flip Arizona or Georgia into her column.
Clare Malone
Increased turnout of rural voters for Trump could be an interesting subplot to emerge from this election. In addition to places like Michigan, which saw a surge in rural voters, preliminary exit poll numbers in Virginia, which has yet to be called, indicate that Trump is outperforming Mitt Romney in the more rural central and western parts of the state 29 percent to 23 percent. That could be helping Trump keep the race close with Clinton, whose strength lies in the more urban environs of Northern Virginia.
