FiveThirtyEight
Harry Enten

Trump’s lead is down to a percentage point in Virginia, with 82 percent of the vote reporting. There are still enough votes outstanding for Clinton to make up this margin. But this doesn’t look like the big lead that Clinton would have wanted. It looks like the race will be close.
Forecast Bot

Republicans win Senate races in Arkansas and Georgia. Our model now gives Republicans a 70 percent chance of retaining control of the Senate.
Forecast Bot

Trump wins Arkansas. Our model now gives him a 26 percent chance of winning the election.

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