FiveThirtyEight
Reuben Fischer-Baum Aaron Bycoffe

Forecast Bot

Republicans win Senate races in Kansas, North Dakota, and South Dakota. Our model now gives Republicans a 69 percent chance of retaining control of the Senate.
Forecast Bot

Chuck Schumer, the incumbent Democratic senator from New York, will keep his seat. Our model now gives Democrats a 31 percent chance of winning control of the Senate.

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