2016 Election Night

Chuck Schumer, the incumbent Democratic senator from New York, will keep his seat. Our model now gives Democrats a 31 percent chance of winning control of the Senate.

Watch Broward, Palm Beach, Miami-Dade and Hillsborough Counties in Florida for signs of a Clinton comeback. Especially Broward, which has been slow to count today’s votes; nearly 30 percent of people in the county are African-American. Obama won more than two votes for every one won by Romney there in 2012, and Clinton is leading by an even bigger margin in the southeastern county among votes counted so far this year.