2016 Election Night

Trump wins Kansas, North Dakota, South Dakota, Wyoming, Texas, Nebraska, Nebraska’s 1st District, and Nebraska’s 3rd District. Our model now gives him a 25 percent chance of winning the election.

Clinton wins New York. Our model now gives her a 73 percent chance of winning the election.

Despite a broad decline in its use nationwide, the death penalty may be bolstered in a few states after tonight’s vote. According to pre-election polling, California, Nebraska and Oklahoma looked poised to retain, reinstate and reinforce capital punishment, respectively. And now some real results are starting to roll in. In Oklahoma — the state with the highest per-capita execution rate since 1976 — the “yes” votes on State Question 776 currently have a 66-34 lead, with 11 percent reporting. A “yes” vote would amend the state’s constitution, affirming the state’s right to execute and choose the method of execution.