Trump’s win in Indiana is no surprise -- FiveThirtyEight’s model gave him a 97.5 percent chance of winning there, despite the fact that Obama carried the state in 2008. Trump’s big margin in Indiana signals Clinton’s challenges with less-educated voters. Just 25 percent of Hoosiers ages 25 and up have a bachelor’s degree, one of the lowest shares of any state. Trump also won Kentucky, where even fewer residents have a college degree, while Clinton won Vermont, one of the most educated states in the country. Of course, those are far from the only factors separating those states.