FiveThirtyEight
Neil Paine

Q:What’s the over/under on Cavs comparisons to a participant? — Dylan Z Gioia A:Here’s the best statistical comparison between the Cavaliers and the GOP debate lineup I can think of: lining up the distribution of the candidates’ most recent RealClearPolitics polling average against the Cavs’ Value Over Replacement Player ratings compiled during the 2014-15 regular season: The distributions are pretty similar. Trump is LeBron James, Jeb Bush is Kyrie Irving, and Scott Walker is Kevin Love. Finals darling Matthew Dellavedova finished the season outside the team’s top 15 (he was below replacement level, in fact), so he’d have been relegated to the JV debate field if he were a GOP presidential candidate.

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