NFL forecasts are in … and they aren’t very exciting! Even great teams like the Green Bay Packers and the Seattle Seahawks are forecast to win about 10 games, according to ESPN’s Football Power Index. But plenty of teams win more than that each year — what gives? Watch the video above to find out. And if you’re into this kind of statistical kaffeeklatsch, subscribe to FiveThirtyEight’s sports podcast, Hot Takedown.
Chadwick Matlin is a deputy editor at FiveThirtyEight. @ChadwickMatlin
Neil Paine is a senior sportswriter for FiveThirtyEight. @Neil_Paine