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Significant Digits For Tuesday, Nov. 1, 2016

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We’re a week away from Election Day. It’s going to get worse before it gets better. Enjoy the politics:

+4.7 points

Hillary Clinton’s national vote margin according to FiveThirtyEight’s polls-only forecast. Clinton is performing worse than Barack Obama did in 2012 in 10 of 12 states, while her popular vote margin is on the whole generally better. This means that the chance of an electoral vote loss and a popular vote win are better for Clinton. [FiveThirtyEight]

32 percent

Percentage of voters in a new Morning Consult poll that said the new FBI review of Clinton emails would not have any effect on their coming vote, compared to 33 percent — most of them already against Clinton — who said it made them less likely to support her. [POLITICO]

50 theaters

AMC will open theaters in 25 cities around the country — one in each for Democrats and Republicans — to watch results come in on cable news. Or you could watch me and my colleagues on ABC Digital for free, wherever. Up to you! [The New York Times]


Donald Trump’s campaign is disputing a charge with Republican pollster Tony Fabrizio over $766,756 in its latest filing. Good luck, Tony Fabrizio, good luck. [The New York Times]

1.5 million

Oh good god OK we are done with politics for the day. That is the number of Americans who don’t have sick leave and go to work while lousy with illness every week. Ever been to a restaurant? Consider getting on the “paid sick leave bus” next chance you get. It almost makes you wish I covered another political story rather than this bubonic crap, yeah? [The Upshot]

$600 million

Valuation of Giphy, a company that brings in no revenue but does provide instantaneous GIFs for those in need of one. The company wrapped up a $72 million fundraising round, and its GIFs — for those out of the know, the kind of file that results from a video and an image that love each other very much — are seen by over 100 million people every day. [Business Insider]

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Walt Hickey was FiveThirtyEight’s chief culture writer.